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FOUNDER GUIDEOct 2023

The 5 Metrics That Actually Matter Before Your First Raise

Forget vanity metrics. Here are the five numbers that early-stage investors actually care about, and how to get them right.

We review thousands of applications every year. Most of them lead with the wrong numbers. Total addressable market. Projected revenue five years out. Number of LinkedIn followers. None of these move the needle in an investment decision.

Here are the five metrics that actually matter when you are raising your first round.

1. Weekly Active Usage

Not downloads. Not signups. Not registered users. Weekly active usage. How many people used your product in the last seven days, and is that number growing?

If you have 50 users who use your product every week, that is more impressive than 5,000 signups who never came back. Usage frequency is the strongest early signal of product-market fit. People do not use products they do not need.

2. Retention at Week 4

Of the people who signed up four weeks ago, what percentage are still using the product? This number tells you whether your product creates a habit or a one-time curiosity.

For consumer products, 25% retention at week 4 is decent. 40% is excellent. For B2B products, you should be seeing 60% or higher. If your week 4 retention is below 15%, you have a product problem that no amount of marketing will fix.

3. Revenue or Willingness to Pay

Even at pre-seed, evidence that someone will pay matters enormously. This does not mean you need $1M ARR. A single customer paying $100 per month proves something that no pitch deck can: someone valued your product enough to give you money.

If you have not launched yet, letters of intent work. Design partner agreements work. Even a waitlist with a deposit works. The point is to prove demand with money, not just words.

4. Customer Acquisition Cost (Even if Crude)

How are people finding your product? Are you spending money to acquire them, or are they showing up organically? At the earliest stage, organic growth is a powerful signal. It means the product is good enough to spread without paid support.

If you are spending money on acquisition, know your numbers. How much does it cost to acquire a customer? How long until that customer pays back the acquisition cost? If you do not know, figure it out before you pitch.

5. Founder-Market Fit

This is not a number, but investors evaluate it like one. Why are you the right person to build this company? What experience, insight, or obsession gives you an unfair advantage in this specific market?

The founders who raise fastest are the ones who can explain in 30 seconds why they are uniquely qualified to solve this particular problem. Not generically capable. Specifically qualified. The more specific, the better.

Interested in what we are building? Apply through the Founder Intake Terminal.